Established trader makes a large Yes add

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A profitable, highly active trader added a $4.3K Yes position in a quiet, thinly liquid market, though their overall record does not clearly show an edge at this entry price.
Total
$4,338
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$58,665
Analysis
- The $4,338 buy was more than 140 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume.
- The trader has 343 resolved bets and is up about $29,900, while adding to an existing Yes position.
- They entered at 86¢, close to the current 88¢ ask, in a market with a 7¢ spread and only about $2,149 in liquidity.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 86¢
Detected October 22, 2026 at 11:08 AM