Serial trader trimming No exposure
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A serial cross-market trader with an 80% record sold part of a large existing No position as Yes odds rose, though their overall P&L is negative and this may be position management.
Total
$1,341
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$237
Analysis
- This wallet has 295 resolved bets and an 80% win rate, and has traded across 39 events.
- The $1,341 sale reduces an existing $7,000 No position; it is not clearly a fresh Yes bet.
- Yes has risen 13 percentage points in a day, but the wallet is down $6,475 overall, so its track record warrants caution.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 33¢
Detected October 26, 2026 at 12:29 AM