Smart Money SignalScore: 5.0
83% win-rate NO buyer
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A proven 83% win-rate trader made a nearly $5k buy that was almost the entire day's volume in a thin pardon market, and the price moved strongly in their favor afterward.
Total
$4,919
Trades
1
Win Rate
87%
Wallet P&L
+$30,442
Analysis
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $25.4k overall
- They put nearly $5k into No, about 99% of the market's 24-hour volume
- Their 84¢ entry already looks strong with No now trading around 94¢
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
Detected April 11, 2026 at 7:44 AM