Seven-wallet shared-funder cluster

This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Seven wallets sharing a funder are associated with roughly $4,034 of positioning, making the coordinated cluster notable despite the trader's win rate not clearly exceeding their average winning odds.
Total
$4,034
Trades
1
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
+$271,424
Analysis
- Seven linked wallets are associated with about $4,034 in trades on this market.
- The featured trade sells Yes at 10¢, equivalent to buying No at 90¢; the wallet's 66% win rate is not clearly above its average winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected November 2, 2026 at 2:27 AM