84% win-rate event trader
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An 84% win-rate trader with nearly $2.0M of cross-market activity is adding a fresh event-level thesis here, making this small buy worth tracking despite the modest size.
Total
$1,055
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$38,903
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 129 markets and has put nearly $2.0M to work
- They have a repeat pattern of betting across related markets in the same event, which suggests a structured thesis rather than a random punt
- Bought Yes at 76¢ in a liquid market, implying they still see value even after the market moved up 10.5 points this week
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 76¢
Detected April 11, 2026 at 10:04 PM