Sharp bettor buying No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A profitable sharp wallet with a strong edge-adjusted 76% win rate is buying No in this active Elon tweet-count market at 65¢, suggesting a followable opinion rather than routine noise.
Total
$4,853
Trades
1
Win Rate
19%
Wallet P&L
+$116,195
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $165k overall.
- They bought No at 65¢ in a liquid market, implying they see the true odds above that level.
- Their average winning entry is just 36¢, which suggests they have a track record of finding mispriced markets.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 65¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 11:32 AM