Profitable political macro trader
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
A highly active and profitable political trader sold Yes at 56¢, which translates to a copyable No buy around 44¢, offering a way to follow a proven cross-market bettor's bearish view.
Total
$4,195
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$790,972
Analysis
- This bettor has won 68% of 762 resolved markets and is up about $864k lifetime
- The trade leans against a falling market: Yes is down 13 points in 1 day and 22.5 points in 1 week
- Selling Yes at 56¢ is equivalent to buying No at 44¢, a meaningful bearish position in a liquid election market
Copy Trade
Buy No at 44¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 4:18 PM