90% hit-rate serial trader
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly accurate serial cross-market trader with a 90% hit rate sold No, equivalent to buying Yes at 65¢, right as this market broke sharply upward.
Total
$1,739
Trades
1
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
-$24,788
Analysis
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 79 events and 89 markets
- Their sell of No at 35¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 65¢
- The market has already surged, with odds up 61 points in 1 day after a major price break
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 65¢
Detected April 14, 2026 at 3:06 PM