93% win-rate bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A bettor with a 93% win rate is making a concentrated buy in a thin Trump daily market, where their $2.4k order was larger than the market’s recent volume.
Total
$2,376
Trades
2
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$2,768
Analysis
- This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades, with 43 wins in 46 bets.
- They bought $2.4k of Yes at 89-90¢, more than the market’s recent trading volume in a thin book.
- The price is already 91¢, so this looks like a high-confidence add rather than random whale activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 90¢
Detected April 15, 2026 at 10:40 PM