87% winner buying NO

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
A proven high-win-rate trader with strong cross-market event history is making a fresh binary bet by selling Yes at 63¢, equivalent to buying No at 37¢, which is worth surfacing despite the modest size.
Total
$1,893
Trades
1
Win Rate
87%
Wallet P&L
+$345,034
Analysis
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved markets and is up $275k across 193 settled bets
- The trade is a fresh position on the other side: selling Yes at 63¢ is equivalent to buying No at 37¢
- This wallet has traded 72 related markets across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven process
Copy Trade
Buy No at 37¢
Detected April 16, 2026 at 2:28 PM