73% winner in thin market
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate made a market-moving buy into a very quiet Venezuela political market, suggesting fresh conviction on No.
Total
$1,183
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$330,749
Analysis
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up about $338k across 653 bets
- They bought No in a market with just $109 of 24-hour volume, and this single $1.2k trade was about 11x the day's flow
- They trade heavily across related event markets, with nearly $31.9k placed across 3 markets on this same topic
Copy Trade
Buy No at 60¢
Detected April 19, 2026 at 5:27 AM