0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
2 signals across 1 market · $22,957 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether IMF PortWatch records zero qualifying ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz on any date from June 26 through July 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if a zero-transit day is reported and No otherwise; PolySpotter’s latest signal shows a 93% winner adding to No.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner adding to No
A highly profitable 93% win-rate serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing No position on a geopolitical market.
$1,858Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 7.8 - High-volume bettor scales into Yes
A highly profitable wallet added roughly $21,000 of Yes exposure during a 500x volume surge and an 84.5-point daily price rally, though its historical edge is not strong relative to its 96% average win price.
$21,099Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa10894…abd3$21,099 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$1,858 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Strait of Hormuz ship transit odds?
The event’s Yes/No odds show the market’s estimate of whether IMF PortWatch will report zero qualifying transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz on any covered date. Check the live Polymarket market for current prices.
What does this Polymarket prediction market measure?
It measures whether IMF PortWatch publishes a daily count of zero “Arrivals of Ships” for the Strait of Hormuz between June 26 and July 31, 2026. Qualifying vessels include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
What is smart money doing in this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,858 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert says a trader with a 93% historical win rate added to No, indicating that signal favored no zero-transit day being reported.
When does the Strait of Hormuz market resolve?
The market can resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a qualifying daily transit count. The event’s stated resolution deadline is July 31, 2026.