Part of: 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,022.

Categories: Chess, Sports, FIDE candidates, Candidates Open

Notable Trades

84% win-rate specialist

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate is buying into this chess market despite already elevated odds, suggesting informed conviction worth tracking.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $273k across $2.37M invested
They have traded 76 markets across 41 events, so this is a proven repeat operator rather than a one-off bet
They bought at 87¢ even after a 70-point weekly move, signaling they still see value at a high price

$1,744 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven $3.2M chess bettor

A highly profitable, high-volume wallet with a 75% win rate is making a sizable cross-market bet in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this worth surfacing despite the rich price.

This bettor has won 745 of 999 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
They trade across related events at scale, with $1.29M tracked across 109 markets and a 75% win rate.
They just paid 84¢ in a market up 67 points in a week, showing conviction even after a sharp move.

$7,556 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Sharp cross-market chess bettor

A highly profitable wallet with a 75% win rate across 999 resolved bets is making a sizable cross-market bet in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this worth surfacing despite the rich 84¢ entry.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $3.2M across nearly 1,000 bets.
They've traded 4 markets tied to this event and 109 related markets overall, showing a repeatable event-driven approach.
They bought at 84¢ after this market jumped 16 points in a day, signaling conviction even after a big move.

$5,518 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Proven cross-market winner

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $3.18M in profits just made a sizable buy into a fast-moving chess market amid a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime across nearly 1,000 bets.
They put $7.5k into Yes at 84¢ while this market's volume jumped 106x and price is up 16 points in a day.
This wallet trades across many related markets with a long profitable history, which makes this look like a deliberate event view rather than a random punt.

$7,517 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Sharp cross-market chess bettor

A highly profitable wallet with a massive 999-bet sample and $3.18M P&L is making a fresh $8.5k buy in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this a credible signal worth surfacing.

This bettor wins 75% of 999 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
They just put $8.5k into Yes at 84¢ while this event has been traded across 4 related markets.
The market is already moving fast, up 17.5 points in a day and 68 points in a week.

$8,511 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Proven cross-market sharp

A highly profitable wallet with a 75% win rate across 997 resolved bets made a large $15.3k buy as part of a broader multi-market Candidates Tournament thesis.

This bettor wins 75% of their bets across 997 resolved markets and is up $3.16M lifetime
They put $15.3k on Yes at 68¢ while also trading 4 markets tied to the same event
The market has already moved hard higher, up 17 points in a day and 53 points in a week

$15,266 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable bettor fading surge

A profitable high-volume wallet bought No after a sharp 51-point reset in this market, adding directional conviction during a major repricing.

This wallet has made 566 resolved bets and is up $327.9k overall
They bought No at 33¢ right after a huge 51-point move, suggesting they think the repricing went too far
The market is active but not crowded, and this single trade still put nearly $3.9k behind that view

$3,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 42%