Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
1 signal across 1 market · $1,300 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks whether any Anthropic Claude model will score at least 45% on the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard by the June 30, 2026 deadline. PolySpotter monitors the Polymarket odds, liquidity, and smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable serial cross-market trader.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9aeb53…2729$1,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Claude scoring 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
The market price reflects the current implied probability that an Anthropic Claude model reaches at least 45% on the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity.
What outcome is being traded in this Claude prediction market?
Traders are betting on whether any Anthropic Claude model will achieve a score of 45% or higher on Humanity’s Last Exam before the market’s cutoff. The event resolves Yes if that threshold appears on the official leaderboard, and No otherwise.
Is smart money betting on Claude reaching 45%?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,300 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal from a profitable serial cross-market trader. That activity can help show whether experienced traders are leaning Yes or No.
When does the Claude Humanity’s Last Exam market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard by June 30, 2026, with the rules specifying the cutoff at 11:59 PM ET.
What source determines the final result?
Resolution is based on the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard from Scale AI. If it lists any Anthropic Claude model at or above 45% by the deadline, the market resolves Yes.