Part of: Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
This prediction market asks whether any Anthropic Claude model will score at least 45% on the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is based on Scale AI’s Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,300 in smart money activity from 1 signal on this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,300.
Categories: Claude 5, Business, Claude, Tech, Big Tech, AI
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A profitable, highly active cross-market trader is backing Yes in a quiet AI benchmark market with a bet over 3x recent volume.
- This bettor has a long record: 67% wins across 1,405 resolved bets and about $79k in profit.
- They are backing Yes in a very quiet market, with this $1.3k trade equal to over 3x recent volume.
- The trade effectively bought Yes at 28¢, implying they see upside versus the current mid-20s price.
$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x4d1b...1419 — Yes, $2,246 (70% win rate)
- 0x9690...f2d5 — No, $1,481 (47% win rate)
- 0x9aeb...2729 — No, $1,319 (67% win rate)
- 0xb89f...1c44 — No, $1,286 (47% win rate)
- 0xfb1b...a11d — Yes, $1,162
- 0x911b...a7fe — Yes, $1,118
- 0x3f73...acef — Yes, $1,061
- 0xb766...1d83 — No, $1,050 (49% win rate)
- 0x97ea...3363 — No, $804 (71% win rate)
- 0x2ccd...3055 — Yes, $786 (87% win rate)
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