Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli
12 signals across 1 market · $95,360 tracked · resolves May 5, 2026
This Madrid Open event tracks prediction-market odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter is monitoring over $95,000 in smart-money activity across the market, including linked-wallet pushes on Medvedev and a smaller Cobolli rush.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 95% win-rate linked bettor
A highly profitable sports trader with a 95% win rate and a linked-wallet footprint bought Flavio Cobolli at 46¢, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal worth surfacing.
$4,126Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 16.3 - Sharp bettor joins 4-wallet pile-in
A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate bought Medvedev at 52¢ alongside 3 other wallets during an unusually large pre-match volume surge.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 14.9 - 10-wallet funded cluster
A 10-wallet funded cluster is repeatedly backing the same side in a large coordinated buy on Medvedev, led here by a new wallet making a near-$6k entry during a major volume spike.
$5,960Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 14.0 - 5-wallet linked Medvedev push
Five wallets, including three linked by funding, piled $51k into Medvedev during a major volume spike and sharp repricing, signaling coordinated conviction despite mixed individual track records.
$51,128Score: 13.6 - 3-wallet Cobolli rush
Three wallets piled into Cobolli as his price surged from 38-41¢ to 100%, suggesting fast coordinated momentum around a match-changing update despite mixed wallet quality.
$8,981Score: 10.0 - 79% win-rate sharp
Profitable sharp bettor with a 79% win rate and strong long-run edge is backing Medvedev at 54¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.
$1,123Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $401k profit is making another event-driven bet, making this trade worth tracking despite the modest size in a liquid market.
$1,469Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 6.0 - Profitable dip buyer
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history bought Medvedev right after a sharp 22.5-point drop, suggesting a deliberate buy-the-dip entry.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 5.3 - Profitable contrarian tennis bet
A proven profitable cross-market trader with nearly $370k in profits just bought Medvedev into a fast 22.5-point price drop, suggesting a deliberate contrarian entry worth watching.
$3,700Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 5.3 - 91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 91% win rate and strong edge is buying Medvedev at near-even odds, making this a credible sharp follow despite the modest size.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0979ba…8d9b$16,200 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x198085…67d8$5,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xefddbb…017f$4,126 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$2,374 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x63a51c…8e33$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x0d96a3…7c16$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$1,469 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xa82a8a…a759$1,123 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Medvedev vs Cobolli?
The event market prices the probability that either Daniil Medvedev or Flavio Cobolli advances in their Madrid Open match. Odds can move quickly as bettors react to lineup news, form, injuries, and smart-money activity.
What is smart money doing on Medvedev vs Cobolli?
PolySpotter has tracked 12 smart-money signals totaling about $95,360 on this event. Recent alerts include a 95% win-rate linked bettor, a sharp bettor joining a 4-wallet pile-in, and a 5-wallet linked push on Medvedev.
Are bettors backing Flavio Cobolli?
There has been some activity on Cobolli, including a 3-wallet Cobolli rush. However, the event also shows multiple linked-wallet and cluster signals around Medvedev, so traders should compare both sides before drawing conclusions.
When does the Medvedev vs Cobolli market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on who advances from the Madrid Open match. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, resolution follows the market’s stated rules.
How should I use this prediction market page?
Use this hub to monitor live Polymarket odds, liquidity, and smart-money alerts for the full Medvedev vs Cobolli event. It can help show where informed or coordinated bettors appear to be positioning before the match result is known.