Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
22 signals across 1 market · $66,727 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, also known as the CLARITY Act, will pass Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome, with PolySpotter tracking $29,197 in smart money activity and several recent whale signals leaning toward No, alongside at least one profitable wallet buying Yes.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner buys YES
Sharp profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate bought $6.9k of Yes on a plausible policy-information market after a recent odds move.
$6,909Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new policy bettor
A repeat-flagged new wallet with early profit is adding to a crypto policy market after a sharp pullback, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited resolved history.
$1,937Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 6.0 - New repeat whale on No
A 22-hour-old wallet has repeatedly made large flagged bets and put $8.4k on No as the market has moved down sharply.
$8,432Score: 5.5 - 2-day wallet fading rally
Very new wallet has repeatedly placed notable bets and is taking a contrarian No position after a sharp Yes rally, though it has no resolved track record yet.
$1,067Score: 5.5 - Profitable new wallet buying Yes
A new repeat large-bet wallet with early profits is adding Yes exposure on a plausible policy-information market after a sharp 1-day pullback.
$2,397Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 5.5 - New repeat whale buys NO
A 22-hour-old wallet has now made four flagged large bets totaling $9.4k and is taking the No side on a liquid crypto-policy market after a sharp move lower.
$4,725Score: 5.5 - 22-hour wallet buying NO
A 22-hour-old wallet is making repeated large bets and bought $3.7k of No into a market already moving toward No.
$3,706Score: 5.5 - New repeat wallet bets No
A 1-day-old repeat new wallet has now put $16.7k into flagged large bets and is taking the contrarian No side on a high-volume crypto legislation market.
$2,202Score: 5.5 - New repeat whale buying No
A 5-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profit is adding a $5.1k No position on a plausible policy-information market.
$5,096Wallet win rate: 45%Score: 5.5 - New repeat whale buys No
A very new wallet with repeated large-bet flags is taking the contrarian No side in a liquid, politically salient crypto-legislation market after $19k of recent flagged activity.
$1,342Score: 5.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0d50d8…aec0$37,265 · 1 market · 11 alerts
- 0x1bb6ff…2454$9,819 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xd6dd93…50ac$5,096 · 1 market · 1 alert · 45% wins
- 0x7d3ec6…346a$4,334 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x58aa47…a481$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xfa2117…1438$2,501 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x4f7da0…3db0$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x73cc5b…151d$1,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x315171…4393$1,012 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026?
The odds reflect the market’s current probability that H.R.3633 passes both chambers of Congress and is signed into law by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks this event hub so you can monitor the live Yes and No pricing plus smart money movement around the outcome.
What is the smart money doing on the Clarity Act market?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show multiple repeat whale wallets buying No, including a 22-hour wallet also buying No. However, there has also been a profitable new wallet buying Yes, so the flow is not entirely one-sided.
When does the Clarity Act 2026 market resolve?
The market resolves based on whether the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 is passed by both the House and Senate and signed into law by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The official resolution source is primarily Congress.gov, with other credible U.S. government information or reporting used if needed.
What outcomes are traded in this prediction market?
This event has one child market: whether the CLARITY Act is signed into law in 2026. Traders can buy Yes if they think it will become law by the deadline, or No if they think it will not.
Why are traders watching the CLARITY Act prediction market?
The CLARITY Act is a major U.S. crypto market structure bill, so its odds are important to traders following crypto regulation, Congress, and policy under the current political environment. Prediction-market activity can highlight how market participants interpret legislative momentum before official outcomes are known.