Crude Oil all time high by...?
19 signals across 3 markets · $41,575 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether front-month CME crude oil futures will break the prior all-time high of $147.27 by the market’s listed deadline. Traders are pricing the chance of a historic oil spike, and PolySpotter has flagged smart money activity leaning toward NO from a sharp macro bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% winner macro sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$1,635Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.0 - 87% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and $692k lifetime profit bought No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$1,139Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 7.0 - 87% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with 87% win rate and +$478k P&L bought $4k of No on a relatively quiet crude-oil market.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.0 - Sharp macro bettor buys NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has an 88% win rate and $287k profit, making even a modest quiet-market NO buy worth surfacing.
$1,663Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.0 - 87% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and $692k lifetime profit bought No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.0 - 80% winner buying No
A proven 80% winner with positive lifetime P&L is adding a cross-market macro position by buying No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$1,110Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.0 - 87% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved-bet win rate and +$485k lifetime P&L bought No on a relatively quiet oil market.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 4.0 - 80% winner buying No
A proven 80% winner with positive lifetime P&L is adding a cross-market macro position by buying No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$1,276Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.0 - 95% winner buying NO
A highly experienced wallet with a 95% resolved-bet win rate bought No at 88¢, with the trade large relative to recent market volume and part of a cross-market oil thesis.
$2,649Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.0 - 80% winner buying No
A proven 80% winner with positive lifetime P&L is adding a cross-market macro position by buying No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$5,183Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x7f9e2d…3a0e$10,862 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 87% wins
- 0xbace5a…3429$8,781 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x88c491…129a$5,555 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x36dafd…907b$4,861 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x08c95f…a2ef$4,119 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0xbdcb29…e811$3,214 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x3e570d…84a5$2,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x2974bd…9c23$1,663 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the odds crude oil reaches a new all-time high?
The live Polymarket odds reflect whether traders think CME front-month crude oil futures will trade above $147.27 before the deadline. Check the event page for the latest probability and price movement.
What does this crude oil prediction market resolve on?
It resolves YES if the official CME daily high for active-month crude oil futures is greater than $147.27 on any trading day after market creation and before the specified deadline. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
What is the smart money doing on this oil market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,861 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal showing a sharp macro bettor buying NO.
Why are traders watching this crude oil market?
A new all-time high in crude oil would likely require a major supply shock, geopolitical escalation, or strong macro-driven energy rally. That makes this market relevant to oil, finance, and geopolitics watchers.