Crude Oil all time high by...?
33 signals across 3 markets · $127,946 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether front-month CME crude oil futures will break the prior all-time high of $147.27 by the market’s listed deadline. Traders are pricing the chance of a historic oil spike, and PolySpotter has flagged smart money activity leaning toward NO from a sharp macro bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% winner macro sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$1,635Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.0 - 87% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and $692k lifetime profit bought No on crude oil reaching a new all-time high.
$1,139Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 7.0 - Sharp macro bettor buys NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has an 88% win rate and $287k profit, making even a modest quiet-market NO buy worth surfacing.
$1,663Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.0 - 87% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with 87% win rate and +$478k P&L bought $4k of No on a relatively quiet crude-oil market.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.0 - Proven 90% bettor adding to No
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate is adding $12.4K to an existing No position on a market where No is priced at 88%.
$8,547Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.0 - 90% win-rate serial trader buys No
A highly proven serial trader with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge bought No near the prevailing market price.
$1,853Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial trader shifts toward Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor sold No shares, equivalent to buying Yes near 20¢, though this may partly reflect trimming a large existing No position.
$3,737Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.9 - Proven 90% bettor adding to No
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate is adding $12.4K to an existing No position on a market where No is priced at 88%.
$12,421Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate is adding to a concentrated No position on a long-dated crude oil ATH market.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.7 - Profitable bettor adding to large NO
A profitable bettor is adding nearly $9,000 to an already substantial No position, though the 27-bet record does not show a pronounced edge over entry odds.
$8,969Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa927cd…8d9f$26,558 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x88c491…129a$19,852 · 2 markets · 8 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x2974bd…9c23$18,952 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xbace5a…3429$13,986 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x7f9e2d…3a0e$10,862 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x1cd24c…7f85$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xe57ab8…e196$8,969 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x08c95f…a2ef$8,172 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x36dafd…907b$4,861 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xbdcb29…e811$3,214 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the odds crude oil reaches a new all-time high?
The live Polymarket odds reflect whether traders think CME front-month crude oil futures will trade above $147.27 before the deadline. Check the event page for the latest probability and price movement.
What does this crude oil prediction market resolve on?
It resolves YES if the official CME daily high for active-month crude oil futures is greater than $147.27 on any trading day after market creation and before the specified deadline. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
What is the smart money doing on this oil market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,861 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal showing a sharp macro bettor buying NO.
Why are traders watching this crude oil market?
A new all-time high in crude oil would likely require a major supply shock, geopolitical escalation, or strong macro-driven energy rally. That makes this market relevant to oil, finance, and geopolitics watchers.