Elon Musk # tweets August 17 - August 19, 2026?
3 signals across 1 market · $8,114 tracked · resolves Aug 19, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Elon Musk will make 40–64 qualifying posts on X between August 17 at 12:00 PM ET and August 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The market counts main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while PolySpotter is tracking a concentrated Yes bet from a sharp bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Funded cluster backs No
An 18-wallet funded cluster joined three fresh No buys, including a bettor with a 92% win rate, providing strong coordinated directional evidence despite one routine Yes sale.
$5,952Score: 10.3 - 18-wallet funded No cluster
An 18-wallet funded cluster has repeatedly positioned on No, with this bet representing a substantial share of the market's modest liquidity.
$1,013Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 7.2 - Sharp bettor makes concentrated Yes bet
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge made a concentrated Yes bet that dominates this thin market's recent volume.
$1,149Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8565b2…0c43$1,149 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xd3179f…025a$1,013 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Elon Musk’s August 17–19 tweet market?
The event covers the outcome of whether Elon Musk makes 40–64 qualifying X posts during the specified two-day period. Check the live Polymarket market for the current odds and price.
What is the Elon Musk tweet prediction market asking?
It asks whether Elon Musk will post 40–64 times from August 17 at 12:00 PM ET through August 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The event has one child market covering this range.
What is smart money betting on in this Elon Musk market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,149 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a sharp bettor made a concentrated Yes bet.
Which Elon Musk posts count toward the total?
Main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count. Replies do not generally count, although replies appearing on the main feed may be counted by the market’s tracker; deleted posts can also count if captured in time.
When does the Elon Musk tweet market resolve?
The counting window ends August 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, and the event is scheduled to resolve by August 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC.