Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
2 signals across 1 market · $48,077 tracked · resolves Jul 29, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the Federal Reserve’s next three interest-rate decisions across the April, June and July FOMC meetings. The listed market focuses on whether the Fed will pause at all three meetings, with PolySpotter highlighting smart money activity including a five-wallet macro cluster.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Five-wallet macro cluster
Strong one-sided cluster buying Yes, led by repeat profitable macro/cross-market wallets and accompanied by a major volume spike and price move.
$44,812Score: 9.2 - Active bettor adding Yes
A highly active cross-market bettor is adding to an existing Yes position during a major volume spike and sharp upward move, though the entry is on a heavy favorite.
$3,265Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xcdb1f1…276c$3,265 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the Fed’s Apr-Jul decisions?
This event page tracks the live Polymarket pricing for whether the Fed pauses at the April, June and July FOMC meetings. Odds can move as inflation data, jobs reports, Fed speeches and rate-cut expectations change.
What outcome is being traded in this Fed decisions event?
The child market asks whether the Fed will Pause–Pause–Pause across the next three decisions: April, June and July. It resolves based on the upper bound of the target federal funds rate announced after each FOMC meeting.
What is the smart money doing on this Fed prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $44,812 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal described as a five-wallet macro cluster. That suggests multiple macro-focused wallets have taken positions worth monitoring.
When does the Fed Apr-Jul decisions market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the July 28-29, 2026 FOMC decision, once the relevant Fed rate decisions for April, June and July are known.
Why do Fed pause odds change on Polymarket?
Fed odds often react to CPI, PCE inflation, unemployment data, GDP reports, Treasury yields and comments from Jerome Powell or other FOMC members. Traders update their views when new information changes the expected path of interest rates.