PolySpotter

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Event

Fervo Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

1 signal across 1 market · $2,943 tracked · resolves May 13, 2026

This event tracks prediction-market odds on Fervo Energy’s market capitalization at the close of its first day of trading after IPO. Traders are currently focusing on whether Fervo will finish IPO day between $7.0B and $8.5B, with PolySpotter tracking $2,943 in smart-money activity and a recent sharp wallet net Yes signal.

Markets (1)

  1. Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?1 signal · $2,943 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp wallet net Yes

    Sharp 85%-win wallet put on a net Yes position while also buying the opposite side cheaply, suggesting both edge and possible spread capture in a very thin IPO-range market.

    $2,943Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x34b017…d620$2,943 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Fervo IPO valuation tops $7B

FAQs

What are the Fervo Energy IPO market cap odds on Polymarket?

The event centers on whether Fervo Energy’s closing market capitalization on IPO day lands in the $7.0B to $8.5B range. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing and smart-money activity around that outcome.

What is smart money doing on the Fervo Energy IPO market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,943 in smart-money volume across this event, including a recent alert that a sharp wallet was net Yes on the $7.0B to $8.5B market-cap outcome.

When does the Fervo Energy IPO market resolve?

The market resolves based on Fervo Energy’s market capitalization at the official closing price on its first trading day. If the IPO does not happen by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to the event’s no-IPO condition.

How is Fervo Energy’s IPO market cap calculated?

Market capitalization is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the official closing share price on Fervo Energy’s first day of trading.

Why follow the Fervo Energy IPO prediction market?

Prediction markets can show how traders are pricing IPO valuation expectations in real time. PolySpotter adds context by highlighting sharp-wallet signals and tracked smart-money positioning.