France declares state of emergency by...?
3 signals across 1 market · $251,076 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether France will enact a legally binding état d'urgence decree by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter flagged a four-wallet surge totaling about $125,000 on No; the market resolves based on whether a qualifying decree takes effect before the deadline.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet, $125K No surge
Four wallets placed $125,606 on No in a sharp, unusually large burst that dwarfs recent market volume, despite mixed or weak wallet track records.
$125,606Score: 7.9 - New wallet doubling down on No
A wallet less than a day old added a $78.5K No trade to an existing $90.9K position, a sizable commitment relative to the market's recent volume.
$46,936Score: 3.1 - New wallet doubling down on No
A wallet less than a day old added a $78.5K No trade to an existing $90.9K position, a sizable commitment relative to the market's recent volume.
$78,534Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4b3dd7…5a0b$125,470 · 1 market · 2 alerts
FAQs
What are the odds France will declare a state of emergency by the end of 2026?
The odds are reflected in the live Polymarket price for the Yes and No outcomes. Check the event page for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.
What is the smart money doing in this France prediction market?
PolySpotter flagged a four-wallet surge totaling about $125,000 on No. This shows tracked trading activity, not a guarantee of how the market will resolve.
What counts as a state of emergency for this market?
A legally binding decree must explicitly constitute an état d'urgence under France's Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955. Other emergency measures do not necessarily qualify.
When does the France state of emergency market resolve?
The market covers qualifying decrees taking effect through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET. It resolves Yes if one takes effect by then; otherwise, it resolves No.