How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
2 signals across 2 markets · $2,175 tracked · resolves Sep 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield will dip below 4.61% on any date from September 3 through September 30, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,163 in smart money and a recent sharp-bettor addition to the No side.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable bettor adds to No
A proven bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive P&L is adding $1,012 to an existing No position in a thin market, though the 90¢ entry leaves limited upside.
$1,012Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7 - Sharp bettor adds to No
A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge added $1,163 to No in a thin, wide-spread market.
$1,163Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 3.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0xff06e8…2f60$2,175 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the September 10-year Treasury yield prediction-market odds?
The event has one child market asking whether the 10-year Treasury yield will fall below 4.61% at any point in September 2026. Check the live PolySpotter market page for current Yes and No prices.
What is the 10-year Treasury yield market on Polymarket?
It is a prediction market on whether the 10-year Treasury yield will trade below 4.61% between September 3 and September 30, 2026.
What is smart money doing in this Treasury yield market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,163 in smart money across the event and reports a recent sharp-bettor addition to the No side.
When does this 10-year Treasury yield market resolve?
The market resolves when a qualifying yield is published or when September 30 data is available. If the required data is still unavailable by October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves No under the stated rules.