Event

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

1 signal across 1 market · $5,880 tracked · resolves Mar 23, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks how many ships IMF Portwatch reports transiting the Strait of Hormuz from March 17 through March 23, 2026. The active market focuses on whether the weekly total lands in the 15-19 ship range, with PolySpotter tracking $5,880 in smart money activity across the event.

Markets (1)

  1. Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?1 signal · $5,880 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

    A high-win-rate wallet with 614 resolved bets made a large buy into a thin shipping market at 82¢ that has already moved to 92¢, suggesting informed conviction worth tracking despite a modest composite score.

    $5,880Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 3.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x2f633e6643$5,880 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds for Strait of Hormuz ship transits this week?

The event’s odds come from Polymarket trading on whether IMF Portwatch reports 15-19 eligible ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from March 17-23, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live market price and smart money positioning as traders update their expectations.

What counts as a ship transit for this market?

Resolution is based on IMF Portwatch transit calls for the Strait of Hormuz during the specified week. Eligible vessel types include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships; ships not reported by IMF Portwatch do not count.

What is the smart money doing on this Strait of Hormuz market?

PolySpotter has tracked $5,880 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal across this event. These signals highlight notable trades from wallets PolySpotter monitors, helping users see whether sophisticated traders are backing or fading the 15-19 ship outcome.

When does the Strait of Hormuz ship transit market resolve?

The market resolves after IMF Portwatch publishes data for the final date in the March 17-23, 2026 window. Resolution is based on the total reported transit calls across all days in that period.

Why are traders watching Strait of Hormuz ship transit odds?

The Strait of Hormuz is a key global shipping and energy chokepoint, so changes in reported tanker and cargo traffic can attract attention from geopolitics, oil, and shipping-market traders. This prediction market lets users trade expectations for the week’s reported transit range.