Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,880.

Categories: Geopolitics, Iran, ship, close, tanker, Oil, Hormoz, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50, Strait of Hormuz

Notable Trades

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

A high-win-rate wallet with 614 resolved bets made a large buy into a thin shipping market at 82¢ that has already moved to 92¢, suggesting informed conviction worth tracking despite a modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 614 resolved markets and is up $35k lifetime
  • They put $5.9k into a thin market with only $8.4k of 24-hour volume, taking 70% of the day's flow
  • They bought Yes at 82¢ and the market is already up to 92¢, showing immediate follow-through

$5,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 14913757, $27,513
  2. 0x1e67...44bc Outcome 14913757, $2,100
  3. 0x923c...fa1d Outcome 14913757, $1,045
  4. 0x8765...ed81 Outcome 32932123, $591
  5. 0x2e61...19bd Outcome 32932123, $342
  6. 0x0061...8fd6 Outcome 14913757, $200
  7. 0x6f08...54d3 Outcome 14913757, $126
  8. 0x978e...80bc Outcome 14913757, $100
  9. 0x6584...3843 Outcome 32932123, $97
  10. 0xa6b8...4bdf Outcome 14913757, $90

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Resolved$5,880 tracked1 signalGeopoliticsIranshipclosetankerOilHormozRewards 200, 4.5, 50Strait of Hormuz

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 17, 2026, through March 23, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 23, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Notable Trades

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

8d ago

$5,880 on Yes at 82¢

Related Theses