Part of: How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 17, 2026, through March 23, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 23, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,880.

Categories: Geopolitics, Iran, ship, close, tanker, Oil, Hormoz, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50, Strait of Hormuz

Notable Trades

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

A high-win-rate wallet with 614 resolved bets made a large buy into a thin shipping market at 82¢ that has already moved to 92¢, suggesting informed conviction worth tracking despite a modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 614 resolved markets and is up $35k lifetime
  • They put $5.9k into a thin market with only $8.4k of 24-hour volume, taking 70% of the day's flow
  • They bought Yes at 82¢ and the market is already up to 92¢, showing immediate follow-through

$5,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $27,513
  2. 0x1e67...44bc — No, $2,100
  3. 0x0061...8fd6 — No, $200
  4. 0x6f08...54d3 — No, $130
  5. 0x978e...80bc — No, $100
  6. 0xa6b8...4bdf — No, $90
  7. 0xa7fe...1f3e — No, $53
  8. 0x1cdd...e595 — No, $38
  9. 0xf0b0...8cab — No, $30
  10. 0xa3c2...df3d — No, $30

Related Theses

Fed will hike rates 25bps

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)$5,880 tracked1 signalGeopoliticsIranshipclosetankerOilHormozRewards 200, 4.5, 50Strait of Hormuz
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 17, 2026, through March 23, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 23, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Notable Trades

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

2026-03-31 13:02 UTC

$5,880 on Yes at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Related Theses