Israel military action against Yemen by...?
3 signals across 1 market · $5,094 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Israel will take a qualifying military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026. The market centers on a Yes/No outcome under the exchange’s rules, including specified air strikes or surface-to-surface missile strikes that directly impact Yemen. PolySpotter is tracking $1,744 in smart money activity so far, including a recent signal from a serial macro bettor in a thin market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial macro bettor in thin market
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a $1.7k No bet in an extremely thin geopolitical market, though the wallet’s edge is modest and the position is currently marked down.
$1,744Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.5 - Serial macro bettor in thin market
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a $1.7k No bet in an extremely thin geopolitical market, though the wallet’s edge is modest and the position is currently marked down.
$1,602Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.3 - Serial macro bettor in thin market
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a $1.7k No bet in an extremely thin geopolitical market, though the wallet’s edge is modest and the position is currently marked down.
$1,748Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb4f259…e5fa$5,094 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
The live Polymarket price reflects traders’ implied odds for the Yes and No outcomes. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see whether notable wallets are positioning for or against the event.
What counts as qualifying military action in this market?
According to the market rules, qualifying action includes an Israeli-initiated air strike or surface-to-surface missile strike that directly impacts Yemen. The final outcome depends on the exchange’s resolution criteria.
What is the smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter currently tracks $1,744 of smart money across this event, with 1 signal observed. The recent alert flagged a serial macro bettor entering a thin market, which can be useful context but is not a guarantee of outcome.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on whether the qualifying action occurs by July 31, 2026, under the market’s stated deadline and rules.