Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $11,197 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on whether Israel and Hezbollah will agree to a permanent peace deal by the stated deadline. Traders are pricing the likelihood of a lasting end to hostilities, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable sharp in a thin market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x51ff0f…4818$11,197 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
FAQs
What are the odds of an Israel-Hezbollah permanent peace deal?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that Israel and Hezbollah reach a qualifying permanent peace deal by the deadline. Because this is a thin market, odds can move quickly when new information or larger trades appear.
What does this Israel-Hezbollah prediction market resolve on?
The market resolves “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal that clearly signals a lasting end to military hostilities by the specified deadline. Temporary ceasefires or ambiguous agreements generally would not qualify.
Is smart money betting on this peace deal market?
PolySpotter has tracked about $11,197 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal highlighting a profitable sharp trading in a thin market.
Why does thin market activity matter here?
In a thin market, even relatively modest trades can shift prices. A profitable sharp’s position may be worth watching, but it should be interpreted alongside liquidity, news flow, and the market’s resolution rules.
When does the Israel-Hezbollah peace deal market resolve?
This event is tied to whether a permanent peace deal is reached by the market’s deadline, listed as June 15, 2026 for the child market. Resolution depends on the official criteria and available evidence at that time.