Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
3 signals across 1 market · $6,352 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by the June 30, 2026 deadline. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome around a potential Israel-Hezbollah escalation scenario, with PolySpotter tracking $6,352 in smart-money activity across 3 recent signals, including sharp and profitable serial-event traders.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 94% win-rate sharp buyer
A proven sharp wallet with a 94% win rate bought No at 63¢ in a geopolitics market that has already moved in its favor to 57¢.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial event trader
A highly active and profitable cross-market trader bought Yes at 50¢ before this market moved to 64%, suggesting an informed directional thesis with strong immediate markout.
$2,877Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial event trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 807 resolved bets and nearly $472k in profit bought into a geopolitics market during a sharp upward move, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite paying above current price.
$1,875Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8f42ae…b88f$4,752 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x5fdf53…28a2$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market’s current probability for a confirmed crossing by Israeli military personnel before the deadline. Check the event page for the latest Yes/No pricing and how it has moved over time.
What counts as Israeli forces crossing the Litani River?
According to the market rules, the crossing must involve Israeli military personnel, such as IDF members or other official military units acting under Israel’s authority. Intelligence or non-military personnel do not count.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $6,352 in smart-money activity across 3 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 94% win-rate sharp buyer and profitable serial event traders, which can help users monitor whether experienced accounts are leaning toward Yes or No.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves based on whether a qualifying crossing is confirmed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying crossing is confirmed by then, it resolves to No.