May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
2 signals across 1 market · $6,920 tracked · resolves Jun 10, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks where the May 2026 global land-ocean temperature anomaly will land, based on the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. The active outcome focuses on whether the increase will be less than 1.10ºC, with PolySpotter tracking $5,185 in smart-money activity and a signal from a profitable climate thesis bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable climate thesis bettor
A profitable, experienced wallet made an unusually large No bet on a very quiet climate market and appears to be building a cross-market temperature thesis.
$5,185Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.5 - Profitable quiet-market buyer
Experienced profitable wallet made a large No buy that dwarfs daily volume on a quiet climate market, with related positioning across the same event.
$1,735Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x118689…051b$6,920 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the May 2026 temperature increase odds on Polymarket?
The odds reflect market pricing for whether the May 2026 global temperature anomaly will be below 1.10ºC. PolySpotter tracks the live market and highlights notable smart-money moves around that outcome.
What is the smart money doing in this temperature market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,185 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal tied to a profitable climate thesis bettor. That can help users see whether experienced traders are leaning toward or against the sub-1.10ºC outcome.
How will the May 2026 temperature market resolve?
The market resolves using the May 2026 value reported in the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, specifically the global land-ocean temperature anomaly table. Once the relevant figure is released, the market can resolve even if the value is later revised.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
The event is expected to resolve by June 10, 2026, after the May 2026 global temperature data becomes available from the stated resolution source.