Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $4,300 tracked · resolves Jan 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Nicolás Maduro will be released from custody by December 31, 2026. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome around release from state custody, including parole, bond, house arrest, or other conditions that allow him to leave custody. PolySpotter has flagged smart-money activity leaning toward No, including a 96% winner buying the No side.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3eae57…e2ed$4,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds on Nicolás Maduro being released from custody?
This event follows the Polymarket market asking whether Nicolás Maduro will be released from custody by December 31, 2026. The live odds move as traders buy Yes or No shares based on news, legal developments, and geopolitical expectations.
What does a Yes outcome mean for this Maduro release market?
Yes means Nicolás Maduro is released from state custody by the deadline. The rules say this can include release on parole, bond, house arrest, or another condition that results in him leaving custody.
What does the smart money say about Maduro being released?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,300 in smart-money activity for this event, with a recent signal showing a 96% winner buying No. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is positioning against Maduro being released by the deadline.
When does this Nicolás Maduro custody market resolve?
The listed child market is for release by December 31, 2026, with the event resolving according to the market rules after the deadline and relevant outcome information is confirmed.
Does transfer to another prison or court count as a release?
No. Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another place of custody, such as another prison or a court, does not count as a release. The market requires him to leave state custody under the terms described in the rules.