Part of: 2026 PGA Championship Winner

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,410.

Categories: PGA, Major Championships, PGA Championship, Sports, Golf

Notable Trades

Million-dollar serial sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 2,125 resolved bets and $1.27M lifetime profit is fading Alex Smalley at 83¢ after a sharp move toward Yes.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 2,125 resolved bets and is up $1.27M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $440K tracked across 158 markets in 92 events.
  • Buying No at 83¢ fades a golfer whose Yes odds jumped 11 points in the last day.

$1,799 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable cross-market golf bettor

Profitable cross-market golf bettor is fading Smalley despite a sharp 1-day move upward, as part of a $50k PGA Championship positioning pattern.

  • This bettor has a 65% record across 146 resolved bets and is up about $30.7k lifetime.
  • They have placed $50.7k across 4 PGA Championship markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
  • They are fading Smalley at 83¢ after his win odds jumped 11 points in the past day.

$2,083 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Serial cross-market winner

Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Yes at 17¢ on a market that has already moved 11 points in the last day.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 22,589 resolved bets and is up $152,732 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 285 events, with over $1.0M in tracked activity.
  • Bought Yes at 17¢ after the market moved up 11 points in the last day.

$1,528 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 48244129, $115,315
  2. 0x0462...cdde Outcome 11126351, $100,000 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 11126351, $30,533 (69% win rate)
  4. 0xe83c...5e8f Outcome 11126351, $10,974 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xf584...2497 Outcome 11126351, $10,500 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x92b5...fec6 Outcome 11126351, $10,261 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x00ff...f7ad Outcome 11126351, $4,872 (58% win rate)
  8. 0xabf7...9820 Outcome 11126351, $3,261 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xbc2c...a49c Outcome 11126351, $3,204 (84% win rate)
  10. 0xb416...4588 Outcome 11126351, $2,786 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

Türkiye avoids defeat

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil-Japan match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

A favorite wins World Cup

Covers 7 related markets

Türkiye-US match gets played

Covers 3 related markets

Japan-Sweden match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

No deal by May

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win close defensive game

Covers 6 related markets

MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June

Covers 2 related markets

Arsenal wins Champions League

Covers 4 related markets

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Resolved2026 PGA Championship Winner $5,410 tracked3 signalsPGAMajor ChampionshipsPGA ChampionshipSportsGolf

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026. If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

45d ago

$1,799 on No at 83¢

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

45d ago

$2,083 on No at 83¢

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

46d ago

$1,528 on Yes at 17¢

Related Theses

Türkiye avoids defeat
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Brazil-Japan match will happen
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a…
A favorite wins World Cup
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 7 related markets
Will France win the 2026 FIFA …Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA…
Türkiye-US match gets played
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…Will Türkiye vs. United States…
Japan-Sweden match will happen
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a…Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
No deal by May
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 2 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Wallet_0x4df33 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
Spurs win close defensive game
Wallet_0x4df33 trades 6 related markets
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 2 related markets
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoi…MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoi…
Arsenal wins Champions League
Wallet_0xb2eef trades 4 related markets
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 C…Will Atletico Madrid win the 2…Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champ…