Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
4 signals across 4 markets · $63,227 tracked · resolves Nov 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks Yes and No odds on whether Saudi Arabia carries out a qualifying air strike or surface-to-surface missile strike that directly impacts Yemen on October 1, Yemen Standard Time. PolySpotter has tracked $13,241 in smart-money activity across the event, including a whale adding to a moving No position.
Markets (4)
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?1 signal · $26,523 tracked
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?1 signal · $19,137 tracked
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?1 signal · $13,241 tracked
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?1 signal · $4,326 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Yes accumulation
Four wallets added $26,523 to existing Yes positions, a coordinated move that dwarfs the market’s recent volume despite mixed wallet track records.
$26,523Score: 6.3 - Three-wallet cluster adds to Yes
Three wallets added $19,137 to Yes positions in a relatively quiet market, creating a notable coordinated directional signal despite limited evidence of proven bettor edge.
$19,137Score: 5.7 - Serial trader adds to No
The trader added a sizable No position in an exceptionally quiet market, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry and the wallet's record does not establish a clear edge.
$4,326Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.4 - Whale adding to a moving No position
A $13.2K buy added to the wallet’s existing No position and coincided with an 18.9-point move toward No in a thin, wide-spread market.
$13,241Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6d0d47…3539$13,241 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x33e27a…3a1b$4,326 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds on Saudi Arabia taking military action against Yemen?
The event has a Yes/No market for qualifying Saudi military action against Yemen on October 1, Yemen Standard Time. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What counts as qualifying military action in this market?
The market description specifies an air strike or surface-to-surface missile strike initiated by Saudi Arabia that directly impacts Yemen. Review the full market rules for the complete resolution criteria.
What is smart money doing on the Saudi Arabia–Yemen market?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal and $13,241 in activity across the event. The latest alert says a whale is adding to a moving No position; this reports observed trading, not a guarantee of the outcome.
When does the Saudi Arabia–Yemen market resolve?
The market concerns action on October 1, Yemen Standard Time, and is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026 at 03:59 UTC.