Event

SBF released from custody in 2026?

1 signal across 1 market · $11,173 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Sam Bankman-Fried will be released from custody by the end of 2026, including release on parole, bond, house arrest, or another condition that lets him leave custody. PolySpotter is tracking $11,173 in smart money activity and 1 signal around this SBF release market, helping you see how informed traders are positioning.

Markets (1)

  1. SBF released from custody in 2026?1 signal · $11,173 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. SBF released from custody in 2026?

    A brand-new wallet has repeatedly deployed large size and just bought over $11k of No in a market with only $314 of 24h volume, a strong conviction signal despite no track record yet.

    $11,173Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x2202758787$11,173 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for SBF being released in 2026?

The live odds move as traders buy and sell the Yes and No outcomes. This event reflects the market’s current view on whether Sam Bankman-Fried leaves custody by December 31, 2026.

What counts as SBF being “released from custody” for this market?

The market resolves Yes if Sam Bankman-Fried leaves custody by the deadline, including release on parole, bond, house arrest, or another condition outside state custody. A transfer to another custody location does not count as release.

What is the smart money doing on this SBF release market?

PolySpotter tracks notable wallet activity across the event. Currently, it has identified $11,173 in smart money volume and 1 signal related to the SBF released in 2026 market.

When does this SBF Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves based on whether Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If he has not been released by then, it resolves No.