"The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office
7 signals across 4 markets · $21,632 tracked · resolves May 26, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for the domestic 4-day opening weekend box office of “The Mandalorian and Grogu.” Traders are currently focused on whether the film lands in the $112M–$122M range, with PolySpotter tracking smart-money activity and forecaster signals around that outcome.
Markets (4)
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?2 signals · $10,684 tracked
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?3 signals · $5,144 tracked
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?1 signal · $4,104 tracked
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?1 signal · $1,700 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is buying a niche box-office bracket amid strong recent price momentum.
$1,550Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 6.0 - Profitable bettor flips Yes
Profitable 76% winner is flipping from a prior No position into Yes across related box office markets, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.
$1,662Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial forecaster
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader made a large No bet that dominated a very thin box-office bracket market and the price has already moved in their favor.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.0 - Experienced box-office event trader
Experienced cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L bought $4.1k of Yes in a thin box-office bracket that has strong recent upward momentum.
$4,104Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.0 - Profitable box-office repositioning
A highly active profitable bettor is repositioning across three related box-office markets during opening weekend, now buying No on this bracket after closing a prior Yes position.
$1,932Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 2.0 - Profitable box-office specialist
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is making a sizable No bet on a box-office bracket despite the alert’s low composite score.
$8,843Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 2.0 - Profitable bettor flips Yes
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: a profitable 76% winner is buying Yes after previously closing the opposite position, despite only weak detection signals.
$1,840Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x44c1df…ebc1$8,843 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x4da76b…355e$4,104 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0xb94c97…b5b5$3,502 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 68% wins
- 0xe25b91…0f1b$1,932 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0x9aeb53…2729$1,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$1,550 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for The Mandalorian and Grogu opening weekend?
This event shows live prediction-market pricing for “The Mandalorian and Grogu” 4-day domestic opening weekend box office, including the currently listed $112M–$122M bracket.
What outcome is being traded for this box office event?
The listed child market asks whether “The Mandalorian and Grogu” will gross between $112 million and $122 million domestically over its 4-day opening weekend.
Is smart money betting on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,700 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal tied to a profitable serial forecaster.
How will this market resolve?
Resolution is based on the final 4-day domestic opening weekend figures from The Numbers for May 22–May 25, 2026, once those values are no longer studio estimates.
When does The Mandalorian and Grogu box office market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 26, 2026, after final opening weekend box office data is available.