Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1 signal across 1 market · $3,324 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Ukraine signs a written peace-related agreement with Russia by June 30, 2026. Traders are pricing the chance of a treaty, ceasefire, roadmap, exchange of letters, or mediated agreement that either ends hostilities or commits both sides to a defined peace process. PolySpotter is currently tracking $3,324 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial event trader.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd44e97…67e2$3,324 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Ukraine signs a peace deal with Russia by June 30?
The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied odds that Ukraine and Russia sign a qualifying written agreement by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money flows so you can see how sophisticated traders are positioning.
What counts as a Ukraine-Russia peace deal for this market?
A qualifying outcome can include a treaty, ceasefire or armistice, framework, roadmap, exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text, as long as both Ukraine and Russia are parties and it either ends hostilities or lays out a defined process toward peace or normalization.
What is smart money doing in this Ukraine peace deal market?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,324 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal tied to a profitable serial event trader. That can help highlight whether experienced prediction-market traders are buying or fading the odds.
When does the Ukraine-Russia peace deal market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying agreement is signed by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, according to the market rules.
Where can I track the Ukraine peace deal prediction market?
You can follow the event on Polymarket for live trading odds, while PolySpotter adds context by monitoring smart money signals, notable trader behavior, and changes in positioning.