Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
2 signals across 2 markets · $11,931 tracked · resolves Feb 28, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether listed cartel leaders will be arrested or detained by law enforcement in 2026, with the current child market focused on Ricardo Ruiz Velasco. PolySpotter has tracked $7,810 in smart money activity, including a recent signal that a 78% winner is fading the “Yes” side.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 78% winner fading Yes
A proven 78% win-rate wallet is making a large bearish move on an extremely thin market, though it is also closing a prior Yes position.
$7,810Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 11.0 - Profitable cross-market bettor
An established, highly profitable bettor made a concentrated bearish position across three related markets, though the wallet's edge over its typical entry odds is modest and the market has since moved against this trade.
$4,120Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 5.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x94c4fe…43ca$11,931 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the odds that Ricardo Ruiz Velasco is arrested in 2026?
The live Polymarket market shows the current implied odds for whether Ricardo Ruiz Velasco will be arrested or detained in 2026. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see whether experienced traders are backing Yes or No.
What is the smart money doing on this cartel arrest market?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,810 in smart money across this event. The latest alert shows a 78% winner fading “Yes,” meaning a historically successful trader is taking the opposite side of the arrest outcome.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to “Yes” for a listed cartel leader if they are arrested or detained by law enforcement by the deadline in the market rules. Temporary official detention can qualify if the person is held by law enforcement in an official capacity.
Is this event only about one cartel leader?
At the moment, the event contains one child market: whether Ricardo Ruiz Velasco will be arrested in 2026. If more related markets are added, the hub can track the broader set of cartel leader arrest outcomes.