Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
1 signal across 1 market · $3,306 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the United States will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if a qualifying military vessel transits the strait and credible reporting or a national authority confirms it; otherwise, it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $3,306 in smart money, including a recent signal from a serial trader scaling into No.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8597ca…daee$3,306 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
FAQs
What are the Strait of Hormuz warship transit odds?
The event page displays the current Yes and No prices for the U.S. warship transit market. These prices represent the market-implied probabilities and can change as traders buy or sell.
What is the Polymarket prediction market about?
It asks whether the United States will send a warship through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Military vessels, including qualifying cargo or support vessels, may count as warships; civilian and commercial ships do not.
What is smart money doing in this event?
PolySpotter tracks $3,306 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert reports that a serial trader scaled into No, indicating a tracked position against a qualifying U.S. warship transit by the deadline.
When does the Strait of Hormuz market resolve?
The market resolves by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A Yes outcome requires confirmation from the U.S. government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying warship transited the strait.