Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
5 signals across 2 markets · $18,735 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks which movie will earn the biggest three-day domestic opening weekend in 2026. The currently listed market asks whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will lead the year, with a whale recently scaling into Yes and $2,599 in tracked smart money.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable bettor scales into Yes
A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate is adding heavily to an existing Yes position at 30¢, representing 72% of recent market volume.
$4,526Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.1 - Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Yes position at 56¢.
$3,866Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 3.1 - Whale scales into Spider-Man Yes
A trader with an established $5,647 Yes position added $2,599 at 46¢ in a relatively quiet market, helping drive a sharp upward repricing despite lacking a strong win-rate edge.
$2,599Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 0.7 - Profitable bettor scales into Yes
A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate is adding heavily to an existing Yes position at 30¢, representing 72% of recent market volume.
$4,878Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 0.7 - Whale scales into Spider-Man Yes
A trader with an established $5,647 Yes position added $2,599 at 46¢ in a relatively quiet market, helping drive a sharp upward repricing despite lacking a strong win-rate edge.
$2,867Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x7056f2…c95c$9,404 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x5095e9…93ee$5,466 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 54% wins
- 0x381419…17bc$3,866 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the biggest movie opening weekend in 2026?
This event shows prediction-market pricing for the movie expected to post the highest three-day domestic opening weekend in 2026. The currently listed child market covers Spider-Man: Brand New Day.
What is smart money betting on in this movie prediction market?
PolySpotter tracked $2,599 in smart money across the event and one signal: a whale scaled into Yes on Spider-Man: Brand New Day having the best domestic opening weekend.
What does the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market resolve on?
It resolves Yes if Spider-Man: Brand New Day earns more domestically on its three-day opening weekend than any other movie released in 2026.
When does this 2026 box office market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026, after final three-day opening-weekend figures are available.