What is the Avengers: Doomsday opening weekend prediction market?

It is a Polymarket prediction market on whether Avengers: Doomsday will record the highest three-day domestic opening weekend among all movies released in 2026.

What does a Yes outcome mean?

Yes means Avengers: Doomsday grosses more domestically over its three-day opening weekend than any other 2026 movie.

How will this market be resolved?

Resolution will use the final three-day opening-weekend figures in The Numbers’ 2026 Weekend Box Office Performance table. Studio estimates do not count as final values.

When will the Avengers: Doomsday market resolve?

The listed resolution date is December 31, 2026, although the market may resolve once the relevant opening-weekend totals are final.

What movies are competing with Avengers: Doomsday in this market?

Any movie with a domestic theatrical release in 2026 can compete, including titles such as The Odyssey and Spider-Man if their opening weekends rank higher.

Part of: Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Avengers: Doomsday will earn more during its three-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie released in 2026. The supplied data does not include a current Yes/No probability; the market resolves after final, non-studio-estimate figures are reported, by December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,269.

Categories: Movies, Culture, The Odyssey, Spider-Man

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Yes position at 56¢.

This bettor wins 88% of 121 resolved trades and is up $20,483 lifetime.
They are adding $3,866 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment to roughly $11,751.
The 56¢ entry is near the market price after a 23-point weekly rise, while the trade represents 143% of reported 24-hour volume.

$3,866 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable bettor scales into Yes

A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate is adding heavily to an existing Yes position at 30¢, representing 72% of recent market volume.

This bettor has won 72% of 25 resolved trades and is up $13,137 overall.
The $4,526 purchase represented 72% of the market's 24-hour volume and added to a $15,000 Yes position.
Yes has since risen from the 30¢ entry to about 34%, despite the market's previously depressed pricing.

$4,878 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable bettor scales into Yes

A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate is adding heavily to an existing Yes position at 30¢, representing 72% of recent market volume.

This bettor has won 72% of 25 resolved trades and is up $13,137 overall.
The $4,526 purchase represented 72% of the market's 24-hour volume and added to a $15,000 Yes position.
Yes has since risen from the 30¢ entry to about 34%, despite the market's previously depressed pricing.

$4,526 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%