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Event

Who will be arrested before 2027?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,096 tracked

This Polymarket event tracks whether former CIA Director John Brennan will be arrested by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s Yes/No odds and smart money activity; the latest alert shows a serial bettor making a concentrated No bet.

Markets (1)

  1. Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?1 signal · $1,096 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial bettor makes concentrated No bet

    A serial cross-market trader made a concentrated No bet representing 71% of daily volume in a thin political market, though the wallet's broad track record shows only modest edge.

    $1,096Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xd8d528…8935$1,096 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Brennan will avoid arrest through 2026

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds that John Brennan will be arrested before 2027?

The event tracks Yes and No shares for whether John Brennan is arrested before the December 31, 2026 deadline. Current odds are reflected in the live Polymarket market and may change as traders buy or sell.

What is the prediction market about?

The market asks whether John Brennan will be arrested before 2027. A qualifying outcome includes being taken into physical custody, surrendering in response to an arrest warrant, or being formally booked or processed after detention.

What is smart money betting on in this event?

PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal totaling $1,096. The latest alert reports that a serial bettor made a concentrated No bet, indicating that trader was positioned against an arrest occurring before the deadline.

When will the John Brennan arrest market resolve?

The market resolves based on whether a qualifying arrest occurs by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying arrest occurs by then, the market resolves to No.