Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
2 signals across 2 markets · $7,115 tracked · resolves Oct 1, 2026
This Polymarket prediction market asks whether any AI model will reach an Overall Arena Score of at least 1510 on the Arena.AI Text Arena leaderboard by September 30, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking the market’s smart money activity, including a proven bettor scaling into Yes with $5,963 in tracked event volume.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven bettor scales into Yes
A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate added nearly $6,000 to an existing Yes position at 86%, driving a major repricing in a relatively thin market.
$5,963Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.5 - 93% serial trader buys Yes
A highly active, profitable serial trader with a 93% historical win rate bought Yes at 90¢ before the market rose to 93¢, though the price is already heavily favored.
$1,152Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x73ecf6…f5bb$5,963 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$1,152 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the odds an AI model reaches a 1510 Arena Score?
The live Yes and No prices on Polymarket represent the market-implied odds. Check the current market data for the latest prediction-market pricing.
What does this AI benchmark market resolve on?
It resolves Yes if any model reaches at least a 1510 score in the Text Arena | Overall leaderboard, with style control off, by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves No.
What is smart money doing in this AI prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal in the event: a proven bettor scaled into the Yes side. Total smart money tracked across the event is $5,963.
When does the 1510 Arena Score market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026, based on the results shown on the specified Arena.AI or Chatbot Arena LLM leaderboard.