Will GameStop acquire eBay?
20 signals across 1 market · $461,660 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks the prediction market on whether GameStop will acquire or merge with eBay before the end of 2026. Traders are pricing the likelihood of an official qualifying announcement involving GameStop and eBay, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity including a signal from a profitable serial event trader.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable clustered new wallet
High composite score driven by a profitable new wallet tied to a 12-wallet funded cluster buying Yes on a speculative acquisition market.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 34%Score: 12.0 - Five-wallet cluster scaling into No
Five wallets deployed $226k into No in a 620x volume spike, with several experienced profitable traders adding to existing positions.
$226,498Score: 8.7 - 7-wallet funded cluster buys Yes
Seven wallets sharing a funder are positioning for the unlikely Yes outcome, making this coordinated flow worth monitoring despite the lead wallet's modest track record.
$6,960Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.0 - New whale hammering NO
A brand-new wallet made a large repeat-flagged $43.6k NO bet on an unusual long-dated M&A market, showing whale conviction but no proven track record yet.
$43,623Score: 5.8 - Serial trader scaling into No
A highly active trader added a $51.8K No position amid a 642x volume spike, creating a notable directional signal despite an already substantial No holding.
$51,764Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial trader buys NO
A profitable, highly active cross-market trader put $69K on No during a major volume spike, with the price already moving in their favor.
$69,190Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial trader fading rumor
A highly active profitable trader put $15.4k on No as this market saw a 471x volume spike and moved sharply toward No.
$15,364Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 5.2 - 88% winner buying NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a niche long-dated M&A market.
$6,844Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,239 resolved bets is buying No on a long-dated acquisition market at 86¢.
$1,720Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.0 - 88% winner buying NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a niche long-dated M&A market.
$1,057Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x44c1df…ebc1$84,555 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$51,764 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xc28f8f…ffed$43,623 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$22,300 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xdaef2b…54e9$7,662 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x6404bf…f250$6,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xeb6f0a…25f0$3,825 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x7c156b…c9db$3,385 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0xeec56e…1862$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 34% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$2,468 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the odds GameStop acquires eBay?
The live odds are set by Polymarket traders buying and selling shares on whether a qualifying GameStop-eBay acquisition or merger is announced by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks those market prices alongside smart money activity.
What counts as a “Yes” outcome for this market?
The market resolves to “Yes” if eBay is officially announced as being acquired by, merged with, or having been acquired by GameStop by the deadline. Qualifying deals involving eBay Inc. or GameStop’s relevant parent company can count.
Who is betting on the GameStop-eBay acquisition market?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,662 in smart money exposure on this event and one notable signal, including activity from a profitable serial event trader. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it can help identify where experienced traders are taking positions.
When does the GameStop eBay acquisition market resolve?
This event is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying announcement occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying announcement is made by then, the market resolves to “No.”},{