Event

Will Rolex prices hit __ by April 30?

1 signal across 1 market · $4,771 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Watch Index will reach $12,450 or higher before April 30, 2026. Traders are betting on the direction of secondary-market Rolex prices, with PolySpotter currently tracking $4,771 in smart money activity and a notable thin-market whale signal.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?1 signal · $4,771 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Thin-market Rolex whale

    A moderately successful bettor concentrated nearly $4.8k into a very thin Rolex market across related contracts, moving through a weak order book with unusual size and conviction.

    $4,771Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 7.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x44147918fa$4,771 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds Rolex prices hit $12,450 by April 30?

The live odds are set by Polymarket trading on the event’s child market: whether the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index reaches $12,450 or higher by April 30, 2026. Check the market price for the current implied probability.

What does this Rolex prediction market resolve on?

The market resolves based on the daily USD value shown for the Rolex Index on Subdial’s market chart. If the index is equal to or above $12,450 on any day before the deadline, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

Is smart money betting on Rolex prices?

PolySpotter has tracked $4,771 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert described as a thin-market Rolex whale. That suggests at least one notable trader moved in a market with relatively limited liquidity.

Why do Rolex Index odds matter?

Prediction-market odds can provide a real-time view of trader expectations for collectible watch prices. For this event, the odds reflect whether traders think the Rolex secondary-market index can rebound or climb enough to hit the $12,450 threshold.

When does the Rolex price market resolve?

This event resolves by April 30, 2026. It can resolve Yes earlier if the Subdial Rolex Index reaches or exceeds the listed threshold before then.