Event

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?

4 signals across 1 market · $5,700 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This Polymarket event tracks whether Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar by December 31, 2026, with Yes and No outcomes. A recent PolySpotter alert reports a profitable trader adding to No; the event has one tracked smart-money signal totaling $1,000.

Markets (1)

  1. Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?4 signals · $5,700 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial cross-market trader

    A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing No position, with recent price movement also favoring No.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.3
  2. Profitable serial cross-market trader

    A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing No position, with recent price movement also favoring No.

    $1,000Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.3
  3. Profitable bettor adding to No

    A bettor with a positive but not clearly exceptional track record added $1,700 to No in a thin market, a substantial trade alongside a detected price move.

    $1,700Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.3
  4. Profitable trader adding to No

    A highly profitable, experienced trader is adding to an existing No position in a relatively quiet geopolitical market.

    $1,000Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc9328e…e6a5$4,700 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 70% wins
  2. 0xd44e97…67e2$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds on Russia capturing all of Chasiv Yar?

The market prices the chance of Russia capturing all of Chasiv Yar by December 31, 2026. Check the live market for current Yes and No odds.

What is smart money doing in the Chasiv Yar market?

PolySpotter's recent alert says a profitable trader is adding to No. One smart-money signal, totaling $1,000, is tracked for this event.

How does the Chasiv Yar prediction market resolve?

It resolves Yes if the ISW map shows the entire Chasiv Yar municipality shaded red by the deadline. Otherwise, it resolves No.

When does the Chasiv Yar market resolve?

The market's stated deadline is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time.