Event

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,664 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This PolySpotter event tracks the prediction market on whether Russia will capture Lyman’s railroad station by the stated deadline. The market resolves Yes or No based on the ISW map, while PolySpotter highlights pricing changes and trader activity, including a sharp No repricing in a thin market.

Markets (1)

  1. Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $1,664 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Thin-market trader drives sharp No repricing

    A $1,664 Yes sale in a very thin market coincided with an unusual 50-point downward repricing, making the No thesis worth monitoring despite the trader's modest historical edge.

    $1,664Wallet win rate: 49%Score: 3.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb1ca90…1705$1,664 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds Russia captures Lyman?

The latest Yes and No prices on the Polymarket event represent the market-implied odds. Check the live event page for current pricing and changes.

What does this Lyman prediction market resolve on?

The market resolves Yes if the Lyman railroad station is shown as captured on the specified ISW map by the resolution deadline; otherwise, it resolves No.

What is smart money doing on the Lyman market?

PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal totaling $1,664. Its latest alert reports that a thin-market trader drove a sharp repricing toward No.

When does the Russia-Lyman market resolve?

The event page lists the child market as asking whether Russia will capture Lyman by December 31, 2026. Always review the exchange’s current rules and displayed deadline for final resolution details.