Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
3 signals across 2 markets · $14,624 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether Russia captures any territory in Mykolaivka, Donetsk Oblast, by September 30, 2026. The market resolves Yes or No using the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) map, with PolySpotter tracking smart money activity across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Yes conviction cluster
Three wallets concentrated $11.7K into Yes, including a repeat new-wallet bettor, while the market has risen 43% over the past week.
$11,740Score: 5.7 - Profitable serial trader adding Yes
A highly active trader with $392K in lifetime profits is adding to an existing Yes position, though the alert has no strong standalone edge signal.
$1,264Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.4 - Profitable serial trader adding Yes
A highly active trader with $392K in lifetime profits is adding to an existing Yes position, though the alert has no strong standalone edge signal.
$1,620Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8f6926…7df1$2,884 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Russia entering Mykolaivka?
The event includes a Yes/No prediction market on whether Russia enters Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026. Check the live market prices on PolySpotter for the latest implied odds.
What is the smart money doing on this Mykolaivka prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,740 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports a three-wallet Yes conviction cluster.
How will the Russia-Mykolaivka market resolve?
It resolves Yes if any part of the specified Mykolaivka territory is shaded as captured on the designated ISW map by the deadline. Otherwise, it resolves No.
When does the Mykolaivka prediction market resolve?
The child market asks whether Russia will enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026. The event is listed as resolving by January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC.