World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals
58 signals across 16 markets · $284,930 tracked
This event tracks whether Portugal will reach the quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Polymarket. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome as the tournament approaches, with PolySpotter currently tracking $5,011 in smart-money activity and a new $5k conviction wallet signal.
Markets (16)
- Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?10 signals · $59,399 tracked
- Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7 signals · $57,738 tracked
- Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?10 signals · $55,555 tracked
- Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?8 signals · $36,349 tracked
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $18,958 tracked
- Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $12,589 tracked
- Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $11,090 tracked
- Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $9,866 tracked
- Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $4,887 tracked
- Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $4,683 tracked
- Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $3,225 tracked
- Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2 signals · $3,196 tracked
- Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2 signals · $2,988 tracked
- Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $2,287 tracked
- Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $1,066 tracked
- Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $1,055 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet funded cluster
High composite score driven by an 8-wallet shared-funder cluster and a serial cross-market trader buying Yes amid a sharp weekly price move.
$2,190Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 12.0 - 8-wallet funded cluster
High composite score driven by an 8-wallet shared-funder cluster and a serial cross-market trader buying Yes amid a sharp weekly price move.
$2,160Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 12.0 - Serial World Cup positioner
A high-volume serial cross-market trader is building a $60.7k World Cup thesis across five related markets, including a $12.6k buy on Algeria No, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
$12,589Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 11.4 - 92% winner in Yes cluster
A highly profitable 92% win-rate serial cross-market bettor joined a $11.7k one-sided Yes cluster amid a 36x volume spike.
$11,672Score: 10.1 - 87% winner buying thin market
Sharp profitable wallet with an 87% record and extensive cross-market history bought a large Yes position worth over 3x the market's 24h volume.
$4,643Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 9.6 - Profitable new whale adding Yes
A 5-day-old repeat whale with early profits is adding $11k to Spain Yes amid a major volume spike and rising odds.
$11,076Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 9.0 - Profitable World Cup portfolio bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking a net long Yes position while also trading across 7 related World Cup markets.
$8,770Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.4 - Serial cross-market winner
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on Switzerland reaching the quarterfinals, with a strong long-term record and sizable World Cup positioning.
$9,866Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.3 - 87% winner buys Yes
Proven sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and $659k lifetime profit bought $6.3k of Argentina Yes, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
$6,270Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 8.0 - Elite 87% sharp bettor
Elite profitable sports/cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate and $670k lifetime profit bought USA quarterfinals Yes at 41¢.
$1,228Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0cb16f…dea6$51,846 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x58e426…36f9$24,168 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x381b92…4d74$21,724 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 51% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$18,636 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xdf7053…5e92$14,043 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x7cde9c…b97d$12,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xd84949…6ac7$12,589 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xb3cfe7…0ebd$12,470 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xb10bf1…0b04$12,140 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 84% wins
- 0x269ced…9017$9,554 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Portugal World Cup quarterfinals odds on Polymarket?
The market reflects the live Polymarket price for whether Portugal reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals. A higher Yes price implies traders see Portugal as more likely to advance that far, while a higher No price signals more skepticism.
What smart money is betting on Portugal to reach the quarterfinals?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,011 in smart-money activity for this event, including a recent alert labeled “New wallet $5k conviction,” indicating a notable wallet took a concentrated position.
How does this Portugal prediction market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if Portugal reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals. It resolves No if Portugal is eliminated before that stage or it becomes mathematically impossible for them to advance.
Is this page for one Portugal market or the whole event?
This event hub currently covers the Portugal quarterfinals outcome: whether Portugal reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals. If additional related child markets are added, the hub can reflect the broader set of traded outcomes.
Why follow Portugal World Cup odds on PolySpotter?
PolySpotter highlights Polymarket odds alongside smart-money alerts, helping you see not just the market price but also when notable wallets are taking conviction positions.