Part of: Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?

Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?

This prediction market asks whether Sweden’s Left Party (V) will receive between 5% and 7% of all valid votes in the parliamentary election scheduled for September 13, 2026. The market resolves using the party’s final share of valid votes; an exact boundary value resolves to the higher bracket.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,118.

Categories: Sweden, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props, Sweden Elections, Sweden Parliamentary Elections

Notable Trades

Serial trader scales into No

A serial cross-market trader is adding a substantial No position in a very thin market, though the wallet's historical performance does not show a strong edge.

  • The trader added $1,118 to No at 63¢, more than 3.5 times the market's 24-hour volume.
  • This wallet has traded across 79 markets and 62 events, with $208,000 in historical volume.
  • The existing No position was already $2,061 at a 62¢ average, showing increased conviction rather than a new speculative entry.

$1,118 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $3,528
  2. 0xdd15...4a07 Yes, $2,882 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xb1ca...1705 Yes, $1,058 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xd24b...ef76 Yes, $757 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $700 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x1ee9...197f No, $668 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x629b...995a No, $422 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $368
  9. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $325 (43% win rate)
  10. 0xf20d...23d3 Yes, $286

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Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?

16hSweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?$1,118 tracked1 signalSwedenPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election PropsSweden ElectionsSweden Parliamentary Elections
Yes
45¢
No
56¢

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Price History — “No
89¢
71¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?

9d ago

$1,118 on No at 63¢

63¢56¢7¢

Related Theses