Part of: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,533.
Categories: Claude, Big Tech, anthropic, Claude Mythos, AI, Tech, Trump
Notable Trades
New wallet event thesis
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets across related markets, including a fresh $1.46k BUY Yes position here, suggesting a concentrated event-level thesis despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged large bets totaling $18.4k.
- They are positioned across 4 related markets in the same event, totaling about $16k.
- Buying Yes at 73¢ signals confidence that restoration is more likely than the market’s current 70% price.
$1,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%
New wallet event thesis
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets across related markets, including a fresh $1.46k BUY Yes position here, suggesting a concentrated event-level thesis despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged large bets totaling $18.4k.
- They are positioned across 4 related markets in the same event, totaling about $16k.
- Buying Yes at 73¢ signals confidence that restoration is more likely than the market’s current 70% price.
$1,403 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%
New wallet event thesis
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets across related markets, including a fresh $1.46k BUY Yes position here, suggesting a concentrated event-level thesis despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged large bets totaling $18.4k.
- They are positioned across 4 related markets in the same event, totaling about $16k.
- Buying Yes at 73¢ signals confidence that restoration is more likely than the market’s current 70% price.
$1,443 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%
New wallet event thesis
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets across related markets, including a fresh $1.46k BUY Yes position here, suggesting a concentrated event-level thesis despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged large bets totaling $18.4k.
- They are positioned across 4 related markets in the same event, totaling about $16k.
- Buying Yes at 73¢ signals confidence that restoration is more likely than the market’s current 70% price.
$1,460 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 71% record bought No on a thin, wide-spread AI policy market while positioning across related markets.
- This bettor has won 71% of 347 resolved trades and is up $46K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 52 events and 71 markets.
- The $3.1K No buy is large for this thin market, with only $8.2K traded in the last 24 hours.
$3,063 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xb4f2...e5fa — Outcome 26774627, $6,842 (75% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 26774627, $1,461 (94% win rate)
- 0x6703...9dc5 — Outcome 26774627, $1,062
- 0xa7bf...e441 — Outcome 26774627, $769
- 0x54d1...13f4 — Outcome 26774627, $585 (80% win rate)
- 0x4d52...f88a — Outcome 26774627, $575
- 0x32b3...acd9 — Outcome 26774627, $364
- 0xa022...77f8 — Outcome 26774627, $317 (72% win rate)
- 0xa59e...61f9 — Outcome 26774627, $300
- 0x9b50...c5f9 — Outcome 26774627, $286
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Iran won’t charge Hormuz fees
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Iran keeps airspace open
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Hormuz ship traffic falls
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Fewer than 25 ships will transit
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No foreign intervention in Gaza
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Houthis fail to hit shipping
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Hormuz traffic will exceed 50 ships
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Claude Fable 5 stays unavailable
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Israel won’t accept Gaza plan
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