What qualifies as an Arc token launch?

The token must be publicly transferable and tradable. An announcement or a planned token launch without active trading does not qualify.

When does the Arc token prediction market resolve?

The market resolves on January 1, 2027, at 5:00 AM UTC, corresponding to the deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.

How will the Arc token market be resolved?

Arc’s official information is the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting used when appropriate.

Where can I track Arc token launch odds?

You can track the Arc token launch prediction market on Polymarket and review smart-money activity through PolySpotter. Current odds were not included in the supplied market metadata.

Part of: Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Q: Will Arc launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves “Yes” only if Arc launches a governance token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves “No”.

This Arc prediction market asks whether Arc will officially launch a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; announcements alone do not qualify. The market resolves on January 1, 2027, and the supplied metadata records $1,732 in tracked smart-money activity across one signal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,336.

Categories: Crypto, Arc, Pre-Market, token launch

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large relative bet is buying No on a thin crypto-token launch market despite recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 67% of resolved trades and is up $41,496 lifetime.
They are taking No at 31¢ against a market that has moved toward Yes by 12.5 points this week.
The $1,484 bet is meaningful for a market with only $4,316 in liquidity.

$1,732 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the No side on a thin Arc token-launch market with recent odds moving downward.

This bettor has traded across 48 related markets and is up about $79k lifetime.
They are effectively backing No at 42¢ while Yes odds are down 18 points this week.
The $1.1k trade is meaningful for a market with only about $3.4k in 24h volume.

$1,120 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large relative bet is buying No on a thin crypto-token launch market despite recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 67% of resolved trades and is up $41,496 lifetime.
They are taking No at 31¢ against a market that has moved toward Yes by 12.5 points this week.
The $1,484 bet is meaningful for a market with only $4,316 in liquidity.

$1,484 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%